WHEN ALL ELSE FAILS –
WAR WITH IRAN
Stes de Necker
The drums of war against Iran are being beaten louder every
day and the question is, when will the Trump administration strike Iran? The
administration has been demonizing Iran as the greatest threat to Israel and
the entire world.
The writing on the wall couldn’t be clearer. John Bolton,
National Security Advisor to the White House, has asked the Pentagon some time
ago to provide the White House with military options to strike Iran, generating
concern at the Pentagon and State Department.
Bolton was a strong proponent of pulling out of the Obama
administration-era deal in which Iran agreed to pause its nuclear weapons
program in exchange for a reduction in sanctions.
Bolton has long believed a U.S. confrontation with Iran
is both inevitable and desirable. In 2015, he authored a New York Times op-ed
whose title, "To Stop Iran's Bomb, Bomb Iran," said it all. He has
urged that "regime change" in Iran be made a declared goal of U.S. foreign
policy.
Bolton furthermore has an ally in Secretary of State Mike
Pompeo. In Cairo, few days ago, Pompeo declared it U.S. policy "to expel
every last Iranian boot" from Syria.
Pompeo's sole purpose during his tour of the Middle East
was to build a new Middle East Strategic Alliance, a MESA, an Arab NATO, whose
members are to be Egypt, Jordan and the nations of the Gulf Cooperation
Council.
Pompeo has also called for a conclave in Poland in
February to bring together an anti-Iran alliance to discuss what is to be done
about what he calls "our common enemy."
It’s worth noting that no one knows if Bolton has
advocated openly for a strike on Iran since entering the White House. He’s
clearly had the chance, not only with the attacks in Iraq but also as Iran
continues to operate in Syria.
Israel,
though, regularly attacks Iranian targets in Syria — something Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu admitted for the first time on Sunday 13 January
2019.
Asked last September (2019) about the attacks on American
targets in Iraq, Pompeo said “Iran will be held accountable for those
incidents.”
Pressed if he meant a military option, the secretary
responded, “They’re going to be held accountable. ... If they’re responsible
for the arming and training of these militias, we’re going to go to the
source.”
If Trump is looking for a showdown with Iran that might boost
his approval rating in the US, the time to do that is now. As the Robert
Mueller winds down its Russia investigation and the Trump government shutdown
and the FBI probe is nearing its end, such a showdown might just do for him
what Operation Iraqi Freedom did for George W. Bush in 2003.
Now that John Bolton controls the NSC, an imminent
confrontation with Iran is most likely.
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